到2030年中东天然气产量将增长近20%

2023-05-10 08:23:40 来源：中国石化新闻网

中国石化新闻网讯据油气新闻5月8日消息称，根据世界自然资源行业领先的能源咨询机构伍德麦肯兹的一份新报告，到2030年，中东地区将花费1200亿美元将天然气产量增加140亿标准立方英尺/天，达到860亿标准立方英尺/天。

预计产量的增长相当于整个欧洲电力行业的天然气消费量，可以帮助能源公司解决能源可持续性、安全性和可负担性的三难困境。

在140亿标准立方英尺/天的增量中，约有一半将用于出口，这可能会对全球天然气市场游戏规则产生改变影响，特别是在中东液化天然气液化能力不断增长的情况下。另一半将被其国内需求增长吸收。

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伍德麦肯兹中东上游首席分析师Alexandre Araman表示：“随着中东地区的巨大天然气储量继续增加，中东可以成为全球天然气市场解决方案的一部分。为了实现我们预测的产量增长水平，今年对非伴生气项目的投资将达到创纪录的250亿美元，到本十年末累计总额将达到1200亿美元。”

到2030年，卡塔尔的液化天然气出口量将达到每年1.26亿吨，而阿布扎比在2028年新液化天然气设施投产后，每年的出口量将达到1540万吨。

报告补充说，对于国际公司来说，该地区的天然气项目提供了诱人的机会。天然气仅占其中东能源生产组合的35%，但却创造了超过70%的价值。其中50%的价值是由埃克森美孚、壳牌和道达尔能源三家公司在全球液化天然气大国卡塔尔创造的。

曹海斌摘译自油气新闻

原文如下：

Middle East gas production to jump by almost 20% by 2030

The Middle East is set to spend as much as US$120 billion to increase gas production by 14 billion standard cubic feet a day (bcfd) to 86 bcfd by 2030, according to a new report by Wood Mackenzie, the leading provider of decision intelligence for the world’s natural resources sector.

The expected uptick in production is equivalent to the gas consumption of the entire European power sector and could help energy companies solve the energy trilemma of sustainability, security and affordability.

Around half of the 14 bcfd increase will be made available for export, which could have a game-changing effect on the global gas markets, especially as the LNG liquefaction capacity in the Middle East keeps growing. The other half will be absorbed by domestic demand growth.

“The Middle East can be part of the solution for the global gas markets as the region continues to ramp up production from its gigantic gas reserves,” says Alexandre Araman, Principal Analyst for Middle East Upstream at Wood Mackenzie. “To fulfil the level of production growth that we have predicted, investments in non-associated gas projects are set to reach a record US$25 billion this year and a cumulative total of US$120 billion by the end of the decade.”

Qatar LNG exports should reach 126 million tonnes per annum (mmtpa) by 2030, while Abu Dhabi should be able to export 15.4 mmtpa after its new LNG facility comes onstream in 2028.

The report adds that for international companies, gas projects in the region present attractive opportunities. Gas accounts for barely 35% of their Middle East production mix but generates more than 70% of the value. Fifty per cent of the value figure is created in the global LNG powerhouse of Qatar by three companies: ExxonMobil, Shell and TotalEnergies.

（责任编辑：黄振审核：蒋文娟）

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